THE STORY LINE
Take the final document
The
evidence and case studies collected so far suggest five major conclusions:
1.
Healthcare
systems (like all over-developed institutional systems) are suffering a crisis
of efficiency.
A
number of evidence support in Demos and Vision study the argument of an
ever increasing inefficiency.
For instance, think tanks have reconstructed upon WHO and World Bank data
historical series of life expectancy (to be more precise of Dale - Disease
Adjusted Life Expectancy) and healthcare expenditure. Therefore, they measured
how many years did OECD countries gained for each decade since 1940 and how
much did they spend in healthcare (as a percentage of GDP) to get such results.
Results say that whereas immediately after the war OECD countries were able
to add in one decade more than 5 years to life expectancy spending 4,1 % of
their income on healthcare, they are now progressing of a mere 1.9 years spending
twice as much.
We, as a society, seem increasingly unable to obtain sufficient value for the
money that we actually spend[1].
2.
This
crisis is primarily due (like for all over-complex institutional systems) to
lack of information (which is of poor quality and insufficient vis a vis the
ever increasing number of available options) and of limited choice.
Inefficiency is about low productivity, inability
to allocate resources to more productive uses. For instance, success
rates of equally available treatments can be dramatically different. However,
Vision and Demos case studies show that the consumer knowledge regarding information
about such differences is close to nil, as is the possibility to choose.
Such a system does not allow for continuous reallocation
of resources from less to most useful means.
3.
The
Internet offers the prospect of significant change.
As we all know, with the Internet information becomes much less costly and range
of choice is no longer constrained by physical location.
The US based Global Health Network makes it possible for a number of
LDCs to share resources and disseminate them very quickly under emergency situations
(as in the case of epidemic, natural disasters, famine). The smart
card healthcare information system which is currently being tested in
Lombardy has the potential of
reducing cost
and personalizing and improving
service.
Internet can then not only improve things but as case studies show bring
the system to a radically different scale in terms of efficiency and quality.
4.
Technology
alone can do very little.
In fact, changes that Internet could bring about will require just what we mentioned
before: a huge reallocation of power and resources but also the disappearance
of the old web of protections and the emergence of a brand new system of rights
and regulations.
We will then have to overcome powerful resistance. The British National
Health System,
for instance, is now discovering how its on-line product - NHS direct
is putting its entire distribution channel under pressure.
And we will have to address entirely new concerns. The project case studies
demonstrate that every internet success is succeeded by an internet problem:
smart card centred systems have not even started to deal with new issues of
reliability, confidentiality, ownership of health information.
More information and more choice will not only
bring about much higher
performance but also highlight the need for radical changes at the very core
of Healthcare Systems Organisations and legislation.
5.
Developing
countries have a potential competitive advantage.
Notwithstanding
the large gap developing counties still have in terms of infrastructure and
hardware, some of them show a relative advantage in terms of skills[2]
and of - what Tom Bentley from Demos and Francesco Grillo from Vision - call
Network propensity. Moreover resistance to the above systematic
changes is much lower as these
countries do not have, for instance, heavily institutionalised national healthcare
systems and regulations to be radically restructured and redesigned.
This
last result may appear counterintuitive: digital divide between developed and
developing societies does not appear to be as great as older, more established
inequalities, for example, life expectancy, income and income sustainability.
Western healthcare systems, on the contrary, seem to be increasingly unable
to deliver what people expect.
IT literacy but also English proficiency in India, for instance, is within the 20 to 35 years age bracket higher than in much more advanced nations like Italy or Germany